Appreciating Appreciation Stability for the Phoenix Area

One of the fundamental reasons we’re experiencing health in our local residential real estate market is that we’ve maintained 8 years years of moderate appreciation rates since bottoming out. Not high, not low, but consistent. Affordability is, however, being threatened by appreciation, higher interest rates, and continued low inventory.

The 17 largest cities in the Phoenix area all experienced appreciation over the last year.  In fact, we’ve really been appreciating for almost y or 8 years now. Of those 17 cities, only 4 of them appreciated at a slower rate than the year before. This is of course good news for home owners and would-be sellers in our fair valley.

I’m one of the few relics who have experienced wild market gyrations in both California and Arizona for over 40 years. I’ve experienced mega appreciation and mega depreciation. I’ve represented buyers who got 3.5% mortgage rates and 18.5% rates.

We had years where the only viable financing was owner financing with assumable loans. And then there were the years in our not too distant past where borrowers got “fogamirror” loans (if you could breathe and fog a mirror, you were loan approved). We also will not soon forget the era of short sales with its’ plummeting downward market.  Of everything I’ve professionally experienced, that was the hardest, especially for the masses of people who lost their homes.

To sum up: The last eight years have been a breath of fresh air and I appreciate our stable real estate market. Few know how blessed we currently have it in the Valley. Perhaps we’re learning that extremes, while they may be exciting in the short term, are usually toxic in the long run. Just sayin.

About the Author

     I was born and raised in San Rafael, California, from the mid 50’s to the early 70’s. I had super parents who worked hard to provide 5 kids with a good Catholic education – despite my best attempts to overthrow the knuckle-cracking regime of Sister Mary Anselma. My dad worked as a self-employed butcher until his retirement at 65 and enjoyed many wonderful years until mom passed away in 1992.

     Dad passed away in the fall of 2006 having lived a great and full life into his early 90’s! In California, I attended college in Chico and Sacramento as a “Sosh” major, but like many of my contemporaries, I did not have a clue what I wanted to do when I grew up. Because of my age, I missed the Vietnam War and into my early 20’s I had many typical youthful indiscretions.

     Thankfully, that was a brief period of my life, and with greater thanks, not too much damage was sustained in those early and rebellious years. And by the way, those thanks are due to the answered prayers of faithful relatives who prayed for years that a wayward Michael would turn his life over to the Lord, and in January of 1982 that’s what happened.

     I lived in Sacramento, California in the mid 70’s, and later moved to Truckee, California, which is near Lake

Tahoe and Reno, Nevada. Truckee’s often labeled the “coldest spot in the nation.” Why did I move there?

My father-in-law was a real estate broker in Donner Lake, California, and despite his cantankerous disposition, he seemed very successful in his real estate endeavors. I joined him in sales in July of 1976.

    The Truckee and Lake Tahoe area was a wonderful place to raise a family, but a difficult and cold environment to live in, but we did so for 18 years. In 1994, my wife, Karen, and I visited Scottsdale at a friend’s request, and within 8 months, our family of 5 had relocated to “the valley” – or is it a desert? Whatever it is, it’s warm. At any rate, 24 years have gone by since we made the break from the late great state of confusion, uh, California, and it’s turned out to be a great move.

     As for hobbies, I enjoy family, friends and travel. My kids Robert, Kendra, and Jonathan are now 40,

34, and 31 respectively. I recently became “gramps” for the 4th time as well. It’s a nice time of life. Karen remains as lovely on the inside and outside as the day we were married. We continue to wonderfully grow together as the years advance. As an ordained Christian Chaplain, I volunteer Preaching at Florence Prison with Along Side Ministry. The ministry helps make the formerly incarcerated able to function, even thrive, on “the outside.”

     Should you choose to have me represent you in the sale or purchase of your home, you’ll be receiving my 40+ years of real estate knowledge, counsel, and experience (including negotiation experience).

    Beyond the transaction, I’m always available to you, should you ever need my real estate advice.